Service Plays Thursday 6/3/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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NBA DUNKEL


Boston at LA Lakers
The Celtics look to open up the series and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 3

Game 701-702: Boston at LA Lakers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 127.183; LA Lakers 129.444
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5 1/2); Over
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5, 192)

History shows that the Lakers and Celtics have won the most NBA championships with a total of 32. But one unit has won even more - defense.

The old adage "Defense wins championships" didn't become an old adage for nothing. For all the changes in the modern game, it has stood the test of time.

That's why it's hard to pass on the Celtics in this series based on what they've done to a pair of offensive superpowers so far in the playoffs.

Boston's defense held the Magic to 90.6 points per game in the postseason, 12.2 points fewer than their regular-season average, and that includes a 113-point outburst in Game 5. Drop it and the Magic's average falls to 86 ppg.

The Celtics' D was similarly tenacious against LeBron James and the Cavaliers, limiting them to 94.5 ppg, a full 7.4 points off their regular-season pace. That includes the Cleveland's 120-point performance in Game 5. Without it, the Cavs were held to 89.4 ppg.

The Heat also were cooled to the tune of 87.6 ppg, 8.9 points fewer than their regular-season average. The key to the Celtics' success is no secret - they physically take teams out of their offense, a style the Lakers have not faced in the playoffs.

"We don’t have a smackdown mentality,’’ said Lakers coach Phil Jackson before campaigning against the Celtics' football brand of basketball. " ...That’s not our kind of team. We don’t go out there to smack people around."

Too bad because that's exactly what it takes to be NBA crowned NBA champs. Kobe Bryant may get his 30 (although primary defender Tony Allen may have something to say about that) but the rest of the Lakers can't produce enough points to cover, perhaps not even enough to win outright.

Pick: Celtics
 
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Game of the day: Celtics at Lakers

Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5, 192)

The numbers

The Lakers are -5.5 for Game 1 of the NBA Finals. The lone regular-season meeting in Los Angeles had the Lakers favored by just -2.5 points back in February, so this is a big jump from that. However, Kobe Bryant did not play in that 87-86 Celtics victory.

The total sits around 192 after opening between 194 and 195. Both regular-season meetings stayed well below the number.

Greatest pro rivalry ever?

This is the 12th meeting in the NBA Finals between the two most storied franchises in the NBA.

The series dates back to 1948, covering 272 meetings. But it really did not get going until 1959, the first of seven championship meetings in the next 11 years. The Celtics brought home the NBA title in all seven of those series with three of those going the seven-game distance.

The Lakers were able to get some of it back winning two of the three meetings in the Bird vs. Magic era in the 80’s. It was then 22 years before they finally got to meet again, this time in 2008 when the Celtics claimed their first NBA Championship since 1986.

After getting humiliated in the finals two years ago, including a 39-point shellacking in the deciding game, the Lakers were thrilled that the Celtics took out the Cavaliers and the Magic to get here, as they no doubt want some payback.

Better prepared

While the Lakers were beaten pretty badly in the 2008 finals, they can draw some positives from it. Los Angeles did not know what was coming at them two years ago but that won’t be the case this year.

“Well, you're just looking forward to the challenge of it,” Bryant told reporters. “The last time we played them, it was a great learning experience for us. It taught us what it takes to be a champion. The defensive intensity that they played with, the tenacity that they played with, we learned a great deal in that series.”

The Lakers used that series loss as a form of motivation and they were able to get it done last season against the Magic four games to one to bring home another NBA championship. It was the 15th in franchise history and a title this year will move it to within one of Boston’s 17 NBA crowns.

A win would also move it over .500 as Los Angeles is 15-15 in NBA Finals series. Boston meanwhile is an outstanding 17-4 in 21 trips to the Finals.

Same teams, different teams

The last NBA Finals meeting was just two years and while some things have stayed the same, a lot of things have changed. The core players for both sides are still in place and the styles of both teams have not changed but there are plenty of differences.

Rajon Rondo and Kendrick Perkins have grown and matured as players. Ron Artest has given the Lakers a more formidable perimeter defender than the last time they played, Andrew Bynum is healthier and Pau Gasol has added 15 pounds of muscle.

Even with these differences, the Celtics are not going to be changing their gameplan or style because they feel what worked then is going to work again and there is no reason to stray from that. The defense that was so tough then is playing with that same tenacity now.

“They play one way and we play a different way,” Ray Allen told reporters. “That's what's beautiful about the Finals because you get a contrast of the two styles. It's about who can take away that team's strengths and force that team to play the way you want them to play.”

More competitive please

The NBA Playoffs have always been extremely entertaining and have provided us with many amazing moments and extremely great games. This year, however, the playoffs have been a dud unless you like blowouts and runaways.

Through the first 14 series, there were more games decided by 20 points or more (13) than three points or less (10). Where is the supposed parity in that?

Two rounds back, the Celtics were blown out by the Cavaliers by 29 points only to return the favor by 32 points two games later. On the other side, the Lakers lost to Oklahoma City by 21 points in Game 4 only to win by 24 points in Game 5.

The NBA Finals last season had two overtime games, both won by the Lakers but it also had two blowouts by 25 and 13 points. Two years ago, the Lakers lost the final game against Boston by 39 points - the second double-digit loss in the finals by Los Angeles.

After seven long months of pro basketball, is it too much to ask for a series that is competitive throughout and one that will go the distance? I don’t think so.

Trends

Boston is 9-20-1 ATS against the Western Conference this season.

Los Angeles is 15-5 ATS at home when playing on three or more days rest over the last three seasons.

The Celtics are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 playoff games when underdogs between 5.0 and 10.5 points.

The Lakers are 9-2 to the under in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of .600 or better.

The Celtics are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Milwaukee Brewers at Florida Marlins (-240, 8)

No, you did not slip through a wormhole in time: Chris Capuano really is taking the hill for the Brewers tonight for the first time since 2007.

That's when the lefty left for his second Tommy John surgery and he has been mired in the minors or extended spring training ever since. Capuano went 3-1 with a 1.59 ERA in seven minor-league starts but the Brewers didn't call him up just because they think he is ready.

The loss of Doug Davis to chest pains and an effort to prevent Capuano from opting out of his contract forced the Brewers' hand. The fact that they inserted him to face Florida ace Josh Johnson tells you something about their expectations.

"As an organization, we have put a lot of energy into getting him back," Brewers manager Ken Macha said. "He's done the same thing on his side, probably more so from his side. I think it's worth everybody's while to go out and see how he does."

Not good, if history is any indication. Capuano left the Brewers three years ago with an 0-22 streak in games in which he pitched. He was 0-12 with a 6.08 ERA during that span.

Of course, the Brew Crew's track record isn't much better in Miami, where they are 6-22 in their last 28 games. Look for both of those dismal streaks to continue.

Pick: Marlins


Oakland A's at Boston Red Sox (-130, 9)

Tim Wakefield's knuckleball has been figured out by some AL East hitters who see him on a regular basis, but he spinless specials still baffle the Athletics.

In their last three meetings, Wakefield is 3-0 against the A's and has allowed just six earned runs in 22 1/3 innings, including a complete-game four-hitter last season.

The hard-luck loser in that game was Brett Anderson, who has otherwise enjoyed similar success against the Sox, going 2-1 against them last season.

Anderson allowed only five earned runs and struck out 22 Red Sox in his last 22 innings, including a complete-game shutout in which he limited Boston's batters to just two hits.

The A's have scored more than six runs just once in the past 14 games while the Red Sox have finally started to heat up, but it will take a lot of offense to top the total against these pitchers.

Pick: Under
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Josh Johnson (5-2, 2.19) Florida Marlins

If not for Ray Halladay's perfect game, Johnson would be near-flawless in his last three starts as well.

Johnson was outdueled 1-0 on Saturday night and the game's only run came on a three-base error. Otherwise the two aces might still be battling it out on the mound.

Johnson has been hot virtually all season, but he has not allowed an earned run in his past three starts - yes, a rare triple-goose egg ERA of 0.00 over his last 20 innings.

"(Halladay) was perfect," Johnson said. "I need to go out there and be perfect as well. To give my team a chance to win, that's what I needed to do."

With a current streak of 25 innings without allowing an earned run, Johnson is damn close to perfection.

Kris Medlen (2-1, 2.85) Atlanta Braves

Medlen appears to be adjusting well to his starting role after spending the first month of the season in the bullpen.

Medlen allowed only two earned runs or less in each of his first three starts of the season before picking up his first win of the season as a starter in his last outing against the Pirates.

"He really came on strong," Braves manager Bobby Cox said of Medlen. "He had more strikeouts than innings pitched, and less hits [than innings pitched] in his very first year. He's come a long ways. We like him."

The second-year righthander can only improve as he gains experience as a starter, and the Braves are suddenly providing plenty of run support.


Slumping

CC Sabathia (4-3, 4.16) New York Yankees

The Yankees' 19-game winner in 2009 has gone missing for the past month, going 0-2 in his last five starts after getting off to a 4-1 record to open the season.

Sabathia hasn't won since beating Baltimore on May 3, exactly a month from today's start against the Orioles. Maybe he has the Birds' number, but he hasn't had anyone else's lately.

The lefty allowed just eight earned runs over his first five starts but has given up 20 in his last five, boasting his ERA to 4.16. That's the highest he's had for a season since his second year in the majors - 4.37 in 2002.

Sabathia was shelled by the Indians and Mets in his last two outings, allowing 17 hit and 11 runs in just 11 innings of work and prompting manager Joe Girardi to vaguely say "It is what it is" after Sabathia was derailed in the Subway Series.

Take that curt comment for what it's worth, but "what it is" is a slump, something CC hasn't encountered for some time.

Hiroki Kuroda (5-3, 3.55) Los Angeles Dodgers

After getting off to a strong 5-1 start to the season, Kuroda has fallen on hard time in his last two outings, going 0-2 and allowing eight earned runs in just 10 innings of work.

Kuroda had a meltdown in his last start against the Rockies, lasting just four innings (his shortest of the season) after giving up 10 hits and five earned runs. That's what happens when a control pitcher is a little off his game.

"You just have to chalk it up and move on. You go out there every five or six days all year long and you're going to throw in some clunkers. That's what happened today," Dodgers manager Joe Torre said of Kuroda. "It was interesting. He was either just off the edges or right down the middle of the plate."

Kuroda fell to 0-3 with a lifetime 7.57 ERA vs. the Rockies. Maybe he'll have better luck against the Braves, against whom he threw a complete game shutout the last time they met.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

San Antonio Silver Stars at Indiana Fever (-6, 142)

Only in the WNBA.

The Silver Stars will be without head coach Sandy Brondello after she gave birth to a baby girl earlier this week.

It was the second child for her and husband, associate head coach Olaf Lange, and will leave the team without Brondello for the next two games, including Thursday’s tilt with the Fever. Lange and GM Dan Hughes are taking over the coaching duties while Brondello recovers.

The Silver Stars are missing their coach at the wrong time following back-to-back losses. San Antonio’s most recent defeat was a lopsided 84-56 loss to the Seattle Storm this past weekend – the worst thrashing in franchise history.

“We didn’t come out and execute the way that we were supposed to, the way that we’re capable of,” reserve guard Roneeka Hodges, who scored 12 points in the loss, told the San Antonio Express. “I just think that whatever the problem is, we just need to get it solved right away. I think as time passes, we’ll be fine.”

The Silver Stars are still gelling after adding All-Star forward Chamique Holdsclaw two weeks ago. Holdsclaw scored just eight points in Sunday’s loss to Seattle while star guard Becky Hammond netted only five points.

Pick: Indiana
 

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BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Boston Red Sox -130 over the Oakland Athletics
 
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WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
Betting Tips, Advice & Strategies

Betting on the WNBA is at the bottom of the sportsbetting totem pole. Football is of course King, followed by Basketball and then baseball, with sports like NASCAR, Golf, Tennis and Hockey bringing up the rear. Last but not least, there's the lowly WNBA. Virtually no betting interest among the public, which is all the more reason anyone reading this article should instantly become a HUGE WNBA fan.

There are many ways to get an edge over the bookmakers betting on the WNBA. Let's start with something very simple that requires very little time. Following line moves. You see, the only folks betting on the WNBA are sharps. Unlike for example, the NBA finals currently taking place with the Lakers and the Magic in which there is tons of public action. There is no public action on the WNBA. Everyone is at the beach waiting for pre season NFL to start! For a line service to follow moves, we recommend GJ Update. Even their delayed product will do.

There are some sharp folks really doing their homework in the WNBA. They are light years ahead of the sportsbooks. When they bet, lines move. But unlike the major betting sports, the books simply don't, or can't, move their lines enough to compensate. Let's take a look at yesterdays WNBA line moves. The NY Liberty moved from -3 to -4.5, a loser. But the total went from 150 to 147.5, a winner. So far we're 1-1. The Washington Mystics moved from -3 to -6, a winner. The total went from 156 to 151, another winner. 3-1 so far. The Minnesota Lynx went from +8 to +6, another winner as they won straight up by 20. The total went from 148 to 154 in the same game, another winner with 170 total points scored in the game. 5-1 so far. The final game of the day had no side movement, but the total moved from 141.5 to 138.5, a loser, for a 5-2 day following moves.

Following line moves in most sports is a losing strategy, but in a sport with so little betting interest like the WNBA, it can be profitable. Especially early in the year when the sharps know so much more than the oddsmakers. The books are spending their time on the NBA finals and MLB, and just about everything else they put a number on. At times, they don't even pay attention to their WNBA lines. I watched two books not even bother to move their numbers when they were at least a point off the rest of the board. That never happens in the major sports.

The other way to get an edge is a little more time consuming, but can be equally as profitable. Simply become a big WNBA fan. Watch the games, read about the games, become an expert. One of the best ways to become a sharp yourself is to specialize in something. Specialize in college hoops totals. Specialize in halftime bets. Specialize in 1st quarter NFL bets. Or, in this case, specialize in the WNBA and become an expert. You'll know more than the oddsmakers and will be able to spot mistakes on a daily basis.

The bottom line folks, is that as the lines become sharper as every year goes by in all the major sports, making them more and more difficult to beat, the sportsbooks continue to add to their inventory to keep things interesting. They are taking bets on everything under the sun these days, and it's all these additions that give you, the bettor, an opportunity to profit. The WNBA is one such opportunity.

So Good Luck this summer as you set out to become a WNBA expert. If you should happen to attend a Connecticut Sun game at the Mohegan Sun Casino, and you glance over and see some guy taking notes, come on over and say hello........I'll buy you a beer and share some tips!
 
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Outlaw Sports Advisors

MLB
WASHINTON NATIONALS -115
OAKLAND A'S @ BOSTON REDSOX - UNDER 9
BALTIMORE ORIOLES +270
 
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Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports) free internet play:

LAKERS - 180 TO 185 win the series boys, we sliced, diced and took apart every angle here in this series and the way the "Lakers' play on the "D" end will put Jr O on a "LAKE SHOW" win in 5. Kobe gets it going and we feel that Rondo comes back to earth here vs. the Lake Show. We tried very hard to back the Dog here but the #'s we ran just don't lie. Lakers - 180 to -185 take the crown.
ENJOY THE DAY GUYS.
 
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JR ODonnell | NBA Sides Thu, 06/03/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 702 LAL -5.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 701 BOS
Analysis:
LAKE SHOW 3*J BOMB

LAKERS - 5.5 TUNE UP THE CELTIC'S
GAME 1 POWER PLAY
The Lakers will not be the popular side tonight as the public will ride the Boston Celtics knowing that the Lake show gang is a slow starting club. The Lakers have a swagger about them and the way the Lakers play on the "Defensive" end as we have huge edges on the Defensive and Rebounding! The JR O POWER RATINGS have the Lake show by 9.5 points. We will call for the Lakers to shut down the Celtics Rondo who has just played out of his mind in the NBA~ playoffs so far. Celtics are 1-4 the last 5 off three plus days rest and the Lake Show 6-1 the last 7. LAKE SHOW BY 10 TO 15
 
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King Creole | NBA Total Thu, 06/03/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 701 BOS / 702 LAL Under 192.0 Sportbet
Analysis: Thursday, June 3rd / Game One / NBA Finals / 9:00pm ET
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers
3*** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL
 
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Larry Ness | NBA Sides Thu, 06/03/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 702 LAL -5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 701 BOS
Analysis: My 10* NBA Game of the Year is on the LA Lakers at 9:05 ET.
The NBA has had its sights set on a Kobe and LeBron showdown for the NBA Finals for two straight years now and gone 0-for-2. However, the league can't be unhappy with yet another Celtics/Lakers matchup. Boston is in its 21st Finals and the Lakers in their 31st, as the league's two most storied franchises meet for the 12th time. Boston won the first eight meetings (the first seven of which came no later than 1969), LA the next two ('85 and '87) and then after a 21-season gap, the Celtics made it 9-2 all-time vs the Lakers by winning the title in 2008. The Celtics won that series in six games, while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. However, this is a much different (and better) LA team. Kobe's in "the zone" right now, entering this series having scored 30 or more points in 10 of his last 11 games (32.9 PPG during that stretch). Gasol was just "finding his way" with the Lakers back in 2008 but now is one of the league's premier players, averaging 20.0 PPG and 10.9 RPG this postseason, while shooting 56.5 percent. Bynum is not 100% but he's available, which is something he very much wasn't back in 2008. Odom is off a terrific 2009 postseason in which LA won it's 15th title plus this postseason, has improved in each round. He averaged 7.8-6.8 vs the Thunder, 9.5-10.0 vs the Jazz and 14.0-11.8 vs the Suns. Then there is Artest, who like Odom, has improved his scoring in each round. He averaged just 8.2 (34.4%) vs the Thunder, then 12.3 (42.6%) vs the Jazz and 14.3 (45.9) vs the Suns. Back in 2008, Kobe had to guard Pierce, which affected his ability to score offensively. This time around, Artest will draw that assignment and let me point out what he was able to do with Durant, the NBA's youngest-ever scoring champ in round one. Durant averaged 30.1 PPG on 47.6 percent shooting during the regular season but Artest held him to 25.0 PPG and more importantly, just 35.0 percent from the floor, including a woeful 28.5 perce‡nt on threes. Boston's "Big Three" was in its first season together back in 2008 but all three are two years older now and KG really seems to be wearing down, looking far less than 100 percent. He averaged just 10.3 PPG while shooting only 38.9 percent vs the Magic, after averaging 15.8 and 18.8 PPG in Boston's first two series, on 53.9 percent shooting. Pierce averaged 24.3 PPG on 51.2 percent shooting vs Orlando, after averaging only 13.5 PPG on 34.5 percent shooting vs the Cavs. His assignment vs Cleveland was LeBron and that clearly hurt his offense and expect a similar situation in The Finals, as Pierce figures to be Kobe's "main" defender. Rondo was spectacular vs the Cavs (20.7-6.3-11.8 on 54.1 percent shooting) but vs the Heat and Magic (14.5-4.7-9.0), his numbers were more in line with his regular season stats (13.7-4.4-9.8). Rondo's VERY GOOD, he's not GREAT! I don't trust Rasheed to show any consistency, as he scored in double digits in just FIVE of 17 postseason games this year, scoring four or less NINE times (has averaged 6.5-2.3). As for Big Baby, he's had one game of note per series (23 in game vs Miami, 15 in Game 5 vs Cle and 17 in Game 3 vs Orlando). Davis has averaged 5.2 PPG in Boston's other 14 playoff games. LA is a dominating 28-3 SU at home the last three postseasons (although right around .500 ATS) but note in their first home game of each of their 11 previous series, has gone 10-1, winning those 10 games by an average margin of 9.0 PPG. That's not an overwhelming margin of victory but's it is about two buckets over the opening pointspread for Game 1. LA opened last year's Finals with a resounding 100-75 win over the Magic and while this year's veteran Celtics team is NOT the inexperienced Magic, I see the Lakers winning very comfortably in Game 1.

Good luck...Larry
 
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gill alexander | MLB Money Line Thu, 06/03/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 955 ATL (+120) BetUS vs 956 LOS
This is about a stacked deck in the already red-hot Braves favor. The value is very much on the underdog.
 
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Evan Altemus | NBA Sides Thu, 06/03/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 701 BOS 5.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 702 LAL
Analysis: The key for the Celtics is being well rested because of their older veteran players. They will be well rested for this game after several days off after eliminating Orlando in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Another key for Boston is that they have had a few days to travel, so they should be well rested after the long trip across country. The time change won’t be a problem either because this game will be played at 9pm EST. In addition, the Celtics are a very experienced group which will not be fazed by playing in the Staples Center, and they had an outstanding road record this season. Because of that, there is a tremendous amount of value on Boston because the Lakers are getting a great deal of points from the oddsmakers due to their home court. Another factor in our favor is that Los Angeles isn’t a dominating team that overwhelms opponents and keeps the pedal down. The Lakers let every playoff opponent come back in most of their home games, so even if Boston trails by€ double digits, there is a good chance that they would come back and cover the point spread. That’s especially true because Boston is such a tough and grinding team, while Los Angeles struggles to bring a consistent effort for the entire game. The side and total are also related in this game. Boston will not win a high scoring game with Los Angeles, which means if they win or keep the game close then it will go under. Los Angeles has a tendency to also play to pace/scoring of their opponent. They played a grinding lower scoring series against Oklahoma City and high scoring, more up-tempo games against Phoenix and Utah. In addition, both of these teams have had several days off, so the offense won’t be as good and legs will be fresher to play defense. Look for this game to be close and go under the total with Boston having a great chance to win the game outright.
5 UNIT SELECTION on BOSTON +5.5
3 UNIT SELECTION on UNDER 192 POINTS





Evan Altemus | NBA Total Thu, 06/03/10 - 9:05 PM

double-dime bet 701 BOS / 702 LAL Under 192.0 Bodog
Analysis: The key for the Celtics is being well rested because of their older veteran players. They will be well rested for this game after several days off after eliminating Orlando in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Another key for Boston is that they have had a few days to travel, so they should be well rested after the long trip across country. The time change won’t be a problem either because this game will be played at 9pm EST. In addition, the Celtics are a very experienced group which will not be fazed by playing in the Staples Center, and they had an outstanding road record this season. Because of that, there is a tremendous amount of value on Boston because the Lakers are getting a great deal of points from the oddsmakers due to their home court. Another factor in our favor is that Los Angeles isn’t a dominating team that overwhelms opponents and keeps the pedal down. The Lakers let every playoff opponent come ba€ck in most of their home games, so even if Boston trails by double digits, there is a good chance that they would come back and cover the point spread. That’s especially true because Boston is such a tough and grinding team, while Los Angeles struggles to bring a consistent effort for the entire game. The side and total are also related in this game. Boston will not win a high scoring game with Los Angeles, which means if they win or keep the game close then it will go under. Los Angeles has a tendency to also play to pace/scoring of their opponent. They played a grinding lower scoring series against Oklahoma City and high scoring, more up-tempo games against Phoenix and Utah. In addition, both of these teams have had several days off, so the offense won’t be as good and legs will be fresher to play defense. Look for this game to be close and go under the total with Boston having a great chance to win the game outright.
5 UNIT SELECTION on BOSTON +5.5
3 UNIT SELECTION on UNDER 192 POINTS
 
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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball and ready to take it to the Dodgers who have struggled to score as of late. The Dodgers have put up only one run in each of their last two wins over the struggling D-Backs. The Braves went 21-8 in the month of may and they have won 8 straight games in a row with giving up no more than 3 runs in each of those wins. In the last two weeks the Braves have gone from worst to first in the National League East as they have gone from 6.5 games down to a 2.5 game lead over the Phillies who the Braves just swept. With their great play in the month of may the Braves players were honored with rookie of the month in Jason Heyward and NL player of the month Troy Glaus. Winning has been contagious for the Braves and it has even spread to their second year pitcher Kris Medlen who has done a great job in taking over for the injured Jair Jurrgens. Medlen is 2-1 with a 2.85 ERA. The Dodgers send out Hiroki Kuroda in this one and Kuroda has not been the same since coming back from getting hit in the head by a line drive in the Cleveland series. His ERA has gone up and in his last game he got roughed up in Colorado giving up 5 earned runs in 4 innings pitched.The Braves have also beaten the Dodgers the last three times they have played them in Los Angeles. Even though Chipper Jones was injured for the Braves in their last game I don't think it will matter as most of the Braves bench players have had better years than Jones. They will just plug in Infante or Hinske into the lineup and not loose a step. I think it is smart money to ride Hotlanta in this one.

Atlanta Braves +125
 

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